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中国证券市场系统性风险结构的实证分析

AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE STRUCTURE OF SYSTEM RISKS OF CHINA SECURITY MARKET

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【作者】 张宗新朱伟骅

【Author】 ZHANG Zong-xin,ZHU Wei-hua(Fudan University,Shanghai 200433,China)

【机构】 复旦大学复旦大学 上海200433上海200433

【摘要】 实证研究表明:我国证券市场的系统性风险整体呈现降低趋势;系统性风险与市场指数存在负相关性,牛市期间系统性风险显著降低,熊市期间系统性风险持续走高;行业间变异系数增大,风险比重方差随时间变化而呈显著性差异;政策因子对系统性风险具有显著性影响,这说明我国股市很大程度上仍为政策市。

【Abstract】 The empirical analysis shows that the system risks in the China security market overall emerge a reducing trend;there is a negative correlation between the system risks and market indexes,meaning that the system risks reduce significantly in bull market and rise continuously in bear market;the cross-sector coefficient of variation raises and the variance of risk-weighted changes significantly with the change of time;the policy factors have a significant effect on the system risks,indicating that the China equity market still a policy-oriented market to a large degree.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70303006)
  • 【文献出处】 经济理论与经济管理 ,Economic Theory and Business Management , 编辑部邮箱 ,2005年12期
  • 【分类号】F224
  • 【被引频次】66
  • 【下载频次】1608
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