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基于Agent的组合预测支持系统的设计

The Design of Agent-based Combining Forecasting Support System

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【作者】 石苑强萧德云郑大钟刘震涛

【Author】 Shi Yuanqiang 1 Xiao Deyun 1 Zheng Dazhong 1 Liu Zhentao 21 (Department of Automation,Tsinghua University,Beijing100084) 2 (Institute of Taiwan Studies,Tsinghua University,Beijing100084)

【机构】 清华大学自动化系清华大学台湾研究所 北京100084北京100084北京100084

【摘要】 文章本着“定性”与“定量”相结合的思想,提出一种基于Agent的区域经济预测支持系统的设计方法。该区域经济支持系统是一个多Agent的系统,它将每一种定量的预测方法都设计成一个预测Agent,并由集成预测Agent在预测专家的协助下组合各个预测Agent的预测结果,完成预测任务。事实表明该预测支持系统能够更好地完成对区域经济的预测。

【Abstract】 In the guidance of the combination of quantity and quantification,it presents a design method of an agent-based forecasting system for regional economy in this paper.The system is based on multi -agent ,in which every quantitative method is designed as a forecasting agent and the forecasting is finished by the combination of the forecasting results from every forecasting agent by integrating agent ,maybe with the abidance of forecasting experts.It proves that the forecasting support system is able to finish the forecast of regional economy much better.

  • 【文献出处】 计算机工程与应用 ,Computer Engineering and Applications , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年24期
  • 【分类号】TP311.52
  • 【被引频次】11
  • 【下载频次】165
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