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利用人工神经网络对空气中O3浓度进行预测

The approach of artificial neural network applied in ambient ozone forecast

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【作者】 万显烈杨凤林王慧卿

【Author】 WAN Xian-lie1, YANG Feng-lin1, WANG Hui-qing2 (1.School of Environmental Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116012, China;2.Dalian Environmental Monitoring Center, Dalian 116023, China). China Environmental Science, 2003,23(1):110~112

【机构】 大连理工大学环境工程学院大连市环境监测中心 辽宁大连116012辽宁大连116012辽宁大连116023

【摘要】 将人工神经网络应用于对空气中O3的浓度预测,提出了完整的预测模型,选取风速、风向、相对湿度、云量、平均气温、最高气温等6项气象因子作为输入量,经过两个月的预测实验,结果表明,实测值与预测值的平均相对误差为21.49%,相关系数为0.837.表明人工神经网络对O3的浓度预测是一种有效的工具.

【Abstract】 In view of the complex mechanism of O3 formation in air, artificial neural network is applied in forecasting O3 concentration in air; and the integrated forecast model is suggested. Six meteorological factors, such as wind velocity, wind direction, relative humidity, cloud, average temperature, highest temperature, are selected as input variants. After two months forecast test, the results show mean relative error of O3 concentration between forecast value and actual value is 21.49%, correlate coefficient is 0.837. Artificial neural network is a effective method to forecast the O3 concentration.

【关键词】 人工神经网络O3浓度预测
【Key words】 artificial neural networkozoneconcentrationforecast
  • 【文献出处】 中国环境科学 ,China Environmental Science , 编辑部邮箱 ,2003年01期
  • 【分类号】X831
  • 【被引频次】47
  • 【下载频次】302
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