【摘要】 我们利用系统建模和仿真技术,对北京SARS的流行过程进行了仿真分析。本文首先提出了北京SARS数学模型,然后介绍了源数据的收集与整理、参数和初始值的处理两项工作,最后给出了我们的仿真计算结果和分析预测结果。从仿真计算结果可以看出,我们的模型、数据、参数和初始值是正确和准确的。更多还原

【Abstract】 we have simulated and analyzed the SARS epidemiological process focused on Beijing by system modeling and simulation technology. In this paper, we firstly present the SARS math model for Beijing, and then introduce the collecting and regulating of source data, and the processing on the parameters and initial values.. Finally the simulation results and the analyzing conclusions are given. As our simulation results are relevant to true SARS source data in Beijing, so our above works including creating model, data collection and regulation, processing on parameters and initial values are correct and accurate.更多还原