【摘要】 以DEA方法为基础 ,给出了最大风险曲面和最小风险曲面的概念 ,同时根据一些具体的同类事件的风险状况 ,给出了一种多目标多准则的定量风险分析方法。该方法不仅能对决策单元的风险状况进行排序和评价 ,而且还能根据被评价单元在最大风险曲面和最小风险曲面上的投影预测最大风险 ,给出决策单元可能降低到的最小风险层次 ,为决策提供支持和参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 On the basis of DEA method, conceptions of maximum risk surface and minimum risk surface are provided. At the same time, a quantitative analysis method under multiple risks is given.In fact,the risk level of decision making unit can be analyzed by this method, maximum risk level that may be arrived and minimum risk level that may be reduced also can be forecasted according to the two kinds of surfaces.\;更多还原