【摘要】 针对揭阳市全社会用电量的历史数据较少的特点 ,引入灰色系统理论 ,采用在同一模型下分行业建模的方法 ,得出更为合理的全社会用电量的预测值 .并对揭阳市 1993～ 1997年的全社会用电量进行计算分析 ,得到的结果与实际相符更多还原

【Abstract】 Due to the lack of historical data of total electricity consumption in Jieyang City, the Gray system theory has been introduced in this paper. The theory of respectively building up a model for different trade with the same model has been adopted, which leads to a more logical forecasting value of the total electricity consumption. Meanwhile the historical data of the total electricity consumption for Jieyang City from 1993 to 1997 have been calculated and analyzed, and the results are satisfactory.更多还原