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我国出口导向型经济增长假说的适用性分析
Applicable Analysis on the Hypothesis of Export Oriented Economic Increase in China
【摘要】 本文根据 1 978-1 999年中国的年度经济数据 ,就出口导向型增长假说是否适用于中国经济增长进行了实证检验。结果发现短期内中国的出口增长确实对经济增长有明显的拉动作用 ,但从长期看这种效应并不明显。这一结论的政策含义在于 :中国要实现经济的持续增长 ,在发展外向型经济的同时 ,应更多地关注国内因素对经济增长的促进作用。
【Abstract】 Bases on date from 1978—1999 in China’s economy,the paper makes a positive study on whether or not the hypothesis of export oriented economic increase suits China’s economic reality.It shows that the export increase in China did have a pulling impact on economic increase in the short term,but not the long term run.This means that for accelerating sustained economic increase in China,attention should also be given to domestic factors,apart from the development of external oriented economy.
【关键词】 出口导向型增长假说;
协整检验;
Granger因果检验;
【Key words】 hypothesis of export oriented economic increase; coordinated inspection; granger inspection;
【Key words】 hypothesis of export oriented economic increase; coordinated inspection; granger inspection;
- 【文献出处】 东北财经大学学报 ,Journal of Dongbei Unirersity of Finance and Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2001年02期
- 【分类号】F752.6
- 【被引频次】16
- 【下载频次】197