【摘要】 在地震危险性分析的基础上，运用剪切波速法，逐步判别法等预测震害，这对唐山地震前缺乏标贯资料的高烈度城镇区，需补充预测时，提供了新的途径更多还原

【Abstract】 On the base of analysis of seismic risk, the paper applies two new methods, the wave speed of shearing and the progressine distinguishion, to forecast the seismic hazard. Thus, a new road is proposed for forecasting seismic hazard of some cities where lack of standard penetration test.更多还原