【摘要】 经济分析中的许多模型其长期行为出现混沌现象,对于具有诸多因素影响的经济系统建立一个十分具体的函数模型往往是不适宜的。有些经济系统中奇异吸引子的存在为应用非线性科学的方法来研究经济系统中的预测与控制等问题提供了良好的依据。本文建立了一个适合诸多具体问题的一个普适经济模型,即将一个经济运行机制做为计划经济、市场经济、偶然事件三部分的综合效应,试图为讨论经济过渡、经济预测与经济控制提供一定的理论依据和方法。更多还原

【Abstract】 There exists chaos in many economic models, and it is not suitalle to establish a functional model for the economic system with a lot of factors. The existence of strange attractors in some economic system, urges us to studp the forecasting and control problems in economic systems with the methpds in the nonlinear science. In this paper, a common economic model rhat suits for a lot of proctical problems is established , which takes the economic state as the effect of planning economics, market economics and accidental events,and try to provide theoretical basis and methods for discussing the economic transition, economic forecasting and economic coutrol.更多还原