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应用回归分析方法推算女性胸骨年龄

AGE ESTIMATION CHINESE FEMALE STERNUM USING MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS

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【作者】 肖尽根施华戈赵会安王晓卿蔡学棋

【Author】 Xiao Donggen et al.(Jiangxi Province Forensic Sciences Institute,Nanchang 330006)

【机构】 江西省公安厅刑事科学技术研究所!南昌330043江西省公安专科学校!南昌330300江西省永修县公安局!南昌

【摘要】 研究89例中国汉族女性胸骨(11~61岁)上的8个部位的形态随年龄增长而变化的规律,并分别划分形态等级,然后采用多元线性回归和逐步回归分析方法,求出了由女性脑骨形态推算年龄的多元回归方程;对手柄—一体和/或体——剑突骨性融合的胸骨也建立了相应的方程。上述各方程经检验P<0.01,r=0.99,SD在1.33~1.71岁之间。与国内外同类研究相比,本方法较为简便、准确,更具实用价值。

【Abstract】 Morphological changes of 8 characteristic points of 89 Chinese female sterna of known age (11-61 years) were observed- 4 - 6 grades of morphological changes of each point were set for eachcharacteristic and multiple linear regression models were worked out for estimating biological age offemal sternum. In case of fusion of manubrium with corpus and /or corpus with process xiphoideus,other regression models were worked out. The standard error of age estimation was about ± 1. 33-1. 71 years. Compared with foreigner’s, the present method is much simpler and more accurate.

  • 【文献出处】 中国法医学杂志 ,Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine , 编辑部邮箱 ,1994年01期
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  • 【被引频次】5
  • 【下载频次】86
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