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层次分析法及其在油田开发方案综合评价中的应用

THE APPLICATION OF AHP TO THE EVALUATION OF OILFIELD DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM

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【作者】 孟昭正;

【Author】 Meng Zhaozheng (Petroleum Branch School,Tianjin University)

【机构】 天津大学石油分校;

【摘要】 本文应用层次分析法原理建立了油田开发方案综合评价的递阶层次结构——评价指标体系,在指标层确定了20个具体的评价指标。根据专家咨询所提供的判断矩阵,采用综合群组判断的几何平均法求出了各层因素的权重,最后得到了20个评价指标的权系数。根据评价指标的权系数,应用综合评分法,可从多个可行开发方案中选出最优方案。案例分析表明,这一新的决策方法思路清楚,简单实用,优选结果可信度高。

【Abstract】 In this paper,principle of AHP is used to evaluate the development pro- gram of an oilfield.A judgment matrix is constructed and twenty specific crite- ria are used for criterion hierarchy.Based on provided judgment matrices and through experts consultants,weights of various criterion is found.Geometric mean method for syntheised group judgments are used to obtain the weights of twenty evaluating criteria.According to their weights by a synthetic method, an optimum program can be selected from a member of alternative programs. It is shown that this new method of decision is simple and practical and the resulft of optimization has a higher confidence.

【关键词】 开发指标; 数学方法; 定量分析; 经济评价;
  • 【文献出处】 石油勘探与开发 ,Petroleum Expoloration and Development , 编辑部邮箱 ,1989年05期
  • 【被引频次】37
  • 【下载频次】220
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