【作者】 张海涛；

【导师】 朱显平；

【作者基本信息】 吉林大学 ， 区域经济学， 2017， 博士

【摘要】 丝绸之路经济带自提出以来,就引起了国内外各级政府和学术界的广泛关注。新形势下对如何推进丝绸之路经济带建设以推进区域间互联互通、提升区域合作水平进行研究具有现实意义。交通基础设施是其中非常重要的一方面,已有研究表明交通基础设施会对经济增长和区域一体化产生影响。一方面,交通基础设施的完善通过提升区域间的通达性、加速生产要素的空间流动、促使经济活动重新配置等方面对该地区和邻近地区的经济发展产生影响。另一方面,改善交通基础设施通过降低区域间贸易成本、提高贸易效率,可能会促进区域经济一体化。在“一带一路”和互联互通战略背景下,对丝绸之路经济带交通基础设施建设的空间效应进行研究,为政府进行投资和布局方面的政策制定,实现区域经济持续、协调发展提供理论基础与实证支持,具有重要意义。目前对于丝绸之路经济带的研究,多是从宏观战略上着眼,围绕战略本身的意义、总体实施进展、面临的国内外挑战和前景等方面进行定性分析和阐述,定量的实证分析相对较少。本文以丝绸之路经济带沿线地区为研究对象,梳理了沿线国内外交通基础设施发展情况,对交通基础设施与空间溢出、区域一体化系统地展开了理论分析和实证检验,填补了相关研究空白,为丝绸之路经济带的研究提供了一个新的视角,并为我国提供相关经验借鉴。本文的研究主要包括以下几个方面:第一,基于相关理论构建理论分析框架,详细阐述交通基础设施建设与经济增长、空间分布的相互作用机制;第二,介绍丝绸之路经济带各条线路跨境交通基础设施建设情况并在此基础上说明对国内开发开放布局的影响;第三,分析丝绸之路经济带国内沿线交通基础设施时空演化并对沿线三个区域交通基础设施空间分布差异进行比较分析;第四,通过耦合-协调模型,分析三条线路交通基础设施与城市经济的耦合协调度;第五,利用空间计量模型分析丝绸之路经济带交通基础设施的空间溢出效应;第六,用边界效应模型分析丝绸之路经济带沿线城市区域一体化程度及交通基础设施对一体化的影响。本文得出的主要结论为:第一,丝绸之路经济带交通基础的发展取得了长足的进步,各种交通基础设施的存量和质量都得到了快速提升。但三条线路交通基础设施的发展存在着不平衡现象,中国中南半岛经济走廊的基础设施相对落后,同时,三条线路的东中西段交通基础发展也存在一定的空间差异,东部较为发达而中西部较为落后。第二,中蒙俄经济走廊沿线地级市耦合协调度水平较高,而且较为均衡,领先于其他经济走廊所涉城市。新亚欧大陆桥由东至西横跨整个中国,在交通和城市化协调发展上明显东部地区要好于西部地区,协调度从东至西逐渐降低。中国中南经济走廊沿线城市协调性处于勉强协调的阶段,耦合协调程度较低。第三,丝绸之路经济带沿线交通基础设施具有显著的外部性和空间溢出效应,对该地区和临近地区的区域经济增长都有着显著的促进作用。三条线路中各种交通基础设施的空间效应都存在着差异,中国中南半岛经济走廊交通基础设施对经济的促进作用偏低,中蒙俄经济走廊高速公路对经济增长的促进作用较强。第四,丝绸之路经济带沿线交通基础设施对中国区域经济一体化有积极的影响,沿线不同区域和不同交通基础设施对区域经济一体化的促进程度也是不同的。具体而言,普通公路比高速公路的促进作用更强,中国中南半岛经济走廊交通基础设施对区域一体化的促进程度最低,其高速公路对区域一体化的影响甚至是负的。更多还原

【Abstract】 Since the Silk Road Economic Belt has been put forward,it has aroused widespread concern at all levels of government and academia at home and abroad.It is of practical significance to study how to promote the construction of the Silk Road Economic Belt in order to promote inter-regional interconnection and enhance the level of regional cooperation.Traffic infrastructure is one of the most important aspects.A lot of studies have shown that transportation infrastructure will have an impact on economic growth and regional integration.On the one hand,by enhancing the accessibility between regions,accelerating the spatial flow of production factors and promoting the reallocation of economic activities,the improvement of the transportation infrastructure will affect economic development of the region and neighboring areas.On the other hand,improving the transport infrastructure can promote regional economic integration by reducing interregional trade costs and improving trade efficiency.Under the “the Belt and the Road” and interconnection strategy background,to study the spatial effect of transportation infrastructure in the Silk Road Economic Belt,is of great significance.The present studies on the Silk Road Economic Belt focus on the macro strategy itself,include the significance of the strategy,overall progress in implementation,the challenges and prospects and so on.Most of them are qualitative analysis,and quantitative empirical analysis is relatively few.This paper takes the area along the Silk Road Economic Belt as the research object,combs the development of the transportation infrastructure along the line at home and abroad,and systematically analyzes the relationship between traffic infrastructure,spatial spillover and regional integration in theoretical analysis and empirical test.It fills the relevant research gapsand provides a new perspective for the research on the Silk Road Economic Belt.It can also provide relevant experiences for our country.This paper mainly includes the following aspects: Firstly,based on the relevant theory,we construct a theoretical analysis framework to elaborate the interaction mechanism between traffic infrastructure construction,economic growth and spatial distribution.Secondly,we introduce the cross-border traffic infrastructure construction along the Silk Road Economic Belt and the impact on the domestic development and opening up layout.Thirdly,the paper analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution of the traffic infrastructure along the Silk Road Economic Belt and compares the spatial distribution of the traffic infrastructure along the three regions.Fourthly,the coupling and coordination model is used to analyze the coupling coordination between traffic infrastructure and the urban economy along the three line.Fifthly,we use a spatial metrology model to analyze the spatial spillover effect of traffic infrastructure in Silk Road Economic Belt.Sixthly,we analyze the degree of regional integration in China and the impact of transport infrastructure on economic integration.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: firstly,the development of the transportation infrastructure in the Silk Road Economic Zone has made considerable progress,and the stock and quality of various transportation infrastructures have been improved rapidly.However,there are imbalances in the development of traffic infrastructure along the three lines.The infrastructure of the Zhongnan Peninsula Economic Corridor is relatively backward.At the same time,there are some spatial differences in the development of traffic in the eastern,central and western of the three lines.The eastern part is more developed and the central and western regions are lagging behind.Secondly,the level of coupling coordination between traffic infrastructure development and economic growth of the cities along the Sino-Russian economic corridor is relatively high,and more balanced,ahead of other cities involved in the other economic corridors.The new Eurasian Continental Bridge cross the whole China from east to west,and in terms of the coupling coordination,the eastern region is better than the western region,gradually declined from east to west.The degree ofcoupling coordination of the cities along the Zhongnan Peninsula Economic Corridor is very low.Thirdly,the traffic infrastructure along the Silk Road Economic Belt has significant externalities and spatial spillover effects,which have a significant effect on the regional economic growth in the region and adjacent areas.There are differences in the spatial effects of various transportation infrastructures along the three lines.The traffic infrastructure of the Zhongnan Peninsula economic corridor has a low effect on the economy,and the highway along the Sino-Russian economic corridor plays a significant role in the economic growth.Fourthly,the transport infrastructure along the Silk Road Economic Belt has a positive impact on China’s regional economic integration,and the promotion degree of different transport infrastructures in different regions are not the same.In particular,the general road is more powerful than the expressway.Besides,the transportation infrastructure has a lowest impact on regional integration along the Zhongnan Peninsula economic corridor,and the impact of the expressway on regional integration is even negative.更多还原