节点文献
都市农业旅游可持续发展的系统分析、评价及仿真研究
Study on System Analysis, Evaluation and Simulation of Sustainable Development in Urban Agritourism
【作者】 张蓓;
【导师】 刘人怀;
【作者基本信息】 暨南大学 , 旅游管理, 2009, 博士
【摘要】 都市农业旅游是都市社会经济水平达到较高发展阶段,由现代都市农业与旅游业相结合发展而成的产物。都市农业旅游作为一种产业新形态,一方面满足了都市居民旅游休闲与科普教育的需要,丰富了都市旅游产品结构,另一方面实现了都市农业从单一生产功能向旅游服务与综合科研等多功能的产业升级,促进了农业增效与农民增收。因此,都市农业旅游的可持续发展,对优化完善城市功能、统筹城乡协调发展、推动社会主义新农村建设具有重要意义和特殊作用,急需系统的、科学的理论体系予以指导。本论文在借鉴国内外都市农业旅游相关研究成果的基础上,以可持续发展理论、城乡一体化理论和系统科学理论为指导,对都市农业旅游可持续发展的理论与实践进行深入系统的研究。论文采取定性分析与定量分析相结合、理论研究与实证研究相结合、比较研究与案例研究相结合的研究方法,着重进行了都市农业旅游可持续发展的系统分析、系统评价与系统仿真,并据之提出了我国都市农业旅游可持续发展的思路与对策。全文共分为八章,各章主要内容分述如下:第一章,绪论。主要阐述了论文研究的背景、目的和意义,综述了国内外都市农业旅游研究的现状与不足,并对论文的研究内容和结构安排作了简介,对论文的研究方法和技术路线作了说明。第二章,都市农业旅游的理论基础。对都市、都市农业、都市农业旅游以及相关概念进行辨析,界定了都市农业旅游的涵义,概述了可持续发展理论、城乡一体化理论以及系统科学理论,着重介绍了系统动力学等系统科学方法,为进一步讨论都市农业旅游可持续发展问题奠定理论基础。第三章,国内外都市农业旅游的实践分析。对欧洲、美洲、亚洲、澳洲主要国家和地区都市农业旅游的发展情况进行广泛介绍,探索国外都市农业旅游的特征,总结出政府主导型、行业组织型等六种都市农业旅游发展类型与经验以供借鉴;同时,以上海、北京、大连、深圳、重庆、西安、台湾等都市为例阐述我国都市农业旅游发展现状,并剖析了存在的问题与制约发展的症结。第四章,都市农业旅游可持续发展的系统分析。都市农业旅游必须走可持续发展的道路,必须用系统的思维与方法来进行认识与分析。构建了都市农业旅游可持续发展“产业经济—资源环境—社会文化”的系统概念模型,分析了系统的要素、层次及特征,提出其具有城乡产业经济协同、城乡资源坏境保护、城乡社会福利与文化提升三大功能。第五章,都市农业旅游可持续发展的系统评价。首先分析了都市农业旅游可持续发展系统评价的目标与内容,在借鉴国内外旅游可持续发展与都市农业可持续发展评价模型的基础上,运用综合评价法构建了包括目标层、准则层、子准则层、指标层4个层次、27个评价因子的都市农业旅游可持续发展评价指标体系;然后通过专家意见法和层次分析法确定了各层次各因子的权重;并据此对广州从化市都市农业旅游可持续发展进行评价,结果表明广州从化市都市农业旅游可持续发展已进入基本实现阶段。第六章,都市农业旅游可持续发展的系统仿真。基于系统动力学的理论与方法,分析了都市农业旅游可持续发展系统的因果反馈结构,构建了都市农业旅游可持续发展的SD模型。运用所建立的模型对广州从化市2004-2020年都市农业旅游可持续发展状态进行了模拟仿真,通过调控政策变量得出传统型、产业经济高效型、资源环境保护型、社会文化兼顾型与经济—资源—社会协调型五种发展模式,仿真结果表明经济—资源—社会协调型发展模式有利于实现都市农业旅游可持续发展的整体最优,是广州从化市都市农业旅游可持续发展的理想模式。第七章,都市农业旅游可持续发展的系统管理。在前文的基础上,提出都市农业旅游可持续发展应遵循的“整体最优、三兼顾、多方参与、综合集成”四项原则以及“环境优先、产业协同、城乡和谐、多方参与、均衡发展”的总体思路,并分别从政府、行业、企业、农民、旅游者的角度提出我国都市农业旅游可持续发展的政策建议。第八章,结论与讨论。对论文研究的主要成果、主要观点、创新之处,以及有待进一步研究的问题进行简要的归纳与总结。
【Abstract】 Urban agritourism is a combination product from modern urban agriculture and tourism, while the city reaching a higher stage of development of socio-economic levels. On the one hand urban agritourism, as a new industrial form, meets the educational, recreational and scientifical need of urban people and enriches the product mix of urban tourisem structure, on the other hand it realized the industrial upgrading of urban farming from a single-production function to multi-functions including tourism services and comprehensive scientific research to promote agricultural efficiency and increase rural incomes. Therefore, sustainable development of urban agritourism is very important and plays special role in optimizing the urban functions, coordinating the development of urban and rural areas to promote the building of new socialist countryside, and it need systematic and technical theory supports.The Paper launched a deep and systematic research on the theory and practice of sustainable development of urban agritourism based on the relevant research results of China and international agritourism, under the guide of sustainable development theory in tourism, urban-rural integration and systematic science theory. The research methods include:systematic method, combination of qualitative analysis and quantities analysis, combination of theoretical and empirical study, combination of comparison study and case study. The chapter mainly deals with the systematic analysis, systematic evaluation and simulation of sustainable development of urban agritourism and also presents the thread and countermeasures.This paper is divided into eight chapters.Chapter 1 is the Introduction, exploring background, object and significance of the study in urban agritourism, summarizing the current status and shortcomings of the of urban agritourism research home and abroad, and the brief introduction of the content and structure of the Paper, as well as the description of the study methods and technical line of this Paper.Chapter 2 is about the theoretical basis for related agritourism research, analyzing the concept of urban area, urban agriculture and urban agritourism, defining the meaning of urban agritourism and discussing the theory of sustainable development, urban-rural integration theory and systematic science theory. especially System dynamics. which will build a solid theoretical foundation for the further research of urban agritourism. Chapter 3 is the practice analysis of domestic and international urban agritourism. Giving a comprehensive introduction of the development of urban agritourism among some important countries and regions in Europe, Americas, Asia and Australia and exploring the key features of urban agritoursim home and abroad to summarize six agritourism types-such as government-oriented or industry-oriented, and taking examples in Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Dalian, Chongqing, Xi’an, Taiwan and other cities, analyzing the status and problems in urban agriourism development of different regions in China, analyzing the crux constraint the development of urban agritourism in China.Chapter 4 is the systematic analysis of the sustainable development of urban agritourism. We must study and analyze the sustainable development of urban agritourism in a systematic way and build a systematic concept modeling from industrial economy to resources environment to social culture and make a comprehensive analysis of the element, the level, the characteristics and present the three top functions:urban-rural industrial economy coordination, urban-rural resources environmental protection and urban-rural social welfarel and culture promotion.Chapter 5 is about the systematic evaluation of sustainable development of urban agritourism. Firstly analyzing the object and content of sustainable development of urban agritourism based on the evaluation model of scholars home and abroad via comprehensive evaluation method to build to the evaluation index system including 27 evaluation factors among four layers, namely object layer, rule layer, sub-rule layer and index layer; then using expert opinion method and AHP to determine index and making practical analysis for the sustainable development of urban agriculture tourism in Conghua District of Guangzhou City. The results show that the urban agritourism in Conghua District of Guangzhou City has been built.Chapter 6 is about the sustainable development of urban agritourism in system dynamics modeling and simulation, drawing causal loop diagrams and plumbing diagram, the establishment of system dynamics model of sustainable development of urban agritourism and make simulation of sustainable development of urban agritourism in Conghua District of Guangzhou City simulation, and study the development trends of urban agritourism in different development mode. screening the simulation model through the analysis of the simulation results.Chapter 7 is about the system management of sustainable development of urban agritourism. Four principles and the general ideas are presented to follow up according to the previous text. The four principles are:Best Overall, Three Attention, Multi-party Participation and Metasynthesis. The general ideas are:environment first, harmonious urban-rural relationship, multi-party participation and even development. The Paper also describes the opinions and suggestions on the management system and policy of the sustainable development of China urban agritourim from the point of view of the government, industries, enterprises, farmers and tourists.Chapter 8 is the Conclusion and Discussion. The papers have drawn conclusion of the study, research innovations, and a number of issues to be further studied.
【Key words】 urban agritourism; sustainable development; system analysis; system evaluation; system simulation;