【作者】 王永静；

【导师】 高继宏；

【作者基本信息】 石河子大学 ， 农业经济管理， 2008， 博士

【摘要】 转变经济发展方式是一个新的概念,同以往所讲的经济增长方式相比,经济发展方式内涵更加丰富。十七大报告提出“实现国民经济又好又快发展,关键要在转变经济发展方式方面取得重大新进展”,并进一步指出“转变经济发展方式,必须实现三个转变:促进经济增长由主要依靠投资、出口拉动向依靠消费、投资、出口协调拉动转变,由主要依靠第二产业带动向依靠第一、第二、第三产业协同带动转变,由主要依靠增加物质资源消耗向主要依靠科技进步、劳动者素质提高、管理创新转变。”“三个转变”主要从需求结构、产业结构、供给要素结构三个方面,对经济发展提出了新的更高的要求,这是当前和今后一个时期转变经济发展方式的重点任务和基本途径,也为本文的研究提供了基本思路。本文综合运用计量分析和统计分析方法,合理吸取西方经济学的研究成果,分析、探讨和研究新疆生产建设兵团(以下简称兵团)经济发展方式形成的机理,寻找兵团经济又好又快发展的有效路径。全文共分8章。第1章导论。主要包括论文的研究背景、研究意义、国内外相关研究文献、研究方法、研究思路以及论文创新点等。第2章经济发展方式转变的相关理论。包括经济增长与经济发展、经济增长方式与经济发展方式等概念的区分与界定;经济发展投入要素决定理论、结构优化与经济发展相关理论、经济发展的要素需求理论以及科学发展观与经济发展方式转变的相关理论,为兵团经济发展方式转变的研究提供了理论基础。第3章兵团经济发展概况。对兵团经济增长情况、经济效益情况以及社会效益情况进行分析,发现从总体水平看,兵团经济发展呈现明显高投资、高增长、低效率的粗放型增长格局,经济发展中还存在诸如产业结构层次低、地区经济发展差异大、劳动者素质不高、职工收入水平低、技术进步水平差等问题,转变经济发展方式是实现兵团经济又好又快发展的关键,而要切实转变经济发展方式必须结合兵团自身经济发展的特点,实现“三个转变”。论文第4、5、6章分别对“三个转变”进行了详细的考察。第4章供给要素与经济发展方式转变。构建兵团经济增长的总量生产函数,借助索洛增速方程衡量供给要素对兵团经济增长的贡献,具体测算了资本、劳动以及全要素生产率(技术进步)对经济增长的贡献,刻画了兵团经济增长方式从集约到粗放再到集约增长的变动过程。研究结果表明,当前与技术进步相匹配的人力资本还很缺乏,技术进步对兵团经济发展的贡献还很不明显,生产效率比较低,经济发展主要是靠要素投入增加驱动。实现兵团经济发展方式转变,必须促进经济发展由主要依靠要素投入增加拉动向主要依靠技术进步、劳动者素质提高拉动转变。第5章需求要素与经济发展方式转变。具体分析了拉动经济发展的三驾马车对经济发展的贡献程度,结果表明投资对经济增长的贡献平均在60%以上,说明投资在兵团经济发展的过程中起到了非常重要的作用,是拉动兵团经济发展的主要动力。在一定时期内,依赖投资来驱动经济发展是摆脱贫困和快速发展的必由之路,但是在经历了十几年的高投资和高增长之后的今天,若仍然依赖沿用过去的发展模式,兵团经济的持续发展将会受到制约。今后一段时期内,应该扩大消费和出口来促进经济发展,推进经济发展由投资驱动向投资、消费和出口协同驱动转变。第6章产业结构优化与经济发展方式转变。兵团经济是以现代农业为主,农业又以种植业为主,种植业以棉花为主,工业在经济总量中所占比重呈逐年下降态势,兵团产业结构层次低是影响兵团经济发展方式转变的关键因素。导致这种现象的主要原因一是兵团长期以来形成了“希望在田野上”的农业发展战略,二是在于“行政职权缺失和国有企业性质”合一的兵团特殊的组织架构。产业结构变动对经济增长贡献的测度模型表明,兵团产业结构变动对经济发展的影响效果不高,通过产业结构调整来促进兵团经济发展,具有很大潜力。促进经济发展由主要依靠第一产业带动向一二三产协同带动转变是实现兵团经济发展方式转变的有效选择。第7章兵团经济发展方式转变的若干建议。兵团经济发展方式转变是一个复杂的系统工程,实现经济发展方式转变需要多管齐下、多轮推动。就此,本文从务实的角度,在理论分析与实证分析的基础上,结合兵团的具体情况,提出以科学发展观为指导,增强自主创新能力、提升劳动力素质、优化产业结构、加快开放步伐和深化体制改革是实现兵团经济发展方式转变的有效措施。第8章研究结论与展望。对论文研究内容进行概括性的总结,并对论文存在的不足及需要进一步研究的问题进行说明。经济发展方式转变研究是一个很大的课题,本文在研究的过程中力求在复杂的问题中抽象出一般的规律。本文在充分占有中外文献资料的基础上,全面、系统的分析了经济增长及经济发展理论,挖掘和提炼其中的经济发展思想,发现供给要素、需求要素和结构要素(主要是产业结构)与经济发展的内在联系,所有的理论和实证研究均围绕此展开,是本文的创新性研究视角。通过理论联系实际,以严密的逻辑、丰富的材料和科学的分析,对兵团经济发展方式转变问题进行了全面系统的研究。更多还原

【Abstract】 The mode of economic development is a new concept with more abundant meaning compared to the mode of economic growth. The report of the convocation of the Seventeenth National People’s Congress of the Communist Party of China put forward that to realize a healthy and fast economic development, it is the key to make great progress in the transition of the mode of economic development. The report indicated ulteriorly that to change the mode of economic development, we must propel three transitions in the mode of economic growth: the transition from relying mainly on investment and export to relying on a well coordinated combination of consumption, investment and export, the transition from secondary industry serving as the major driving farce to primary, secondary and tertiary industries jointly driving economic growth, and the transition from relying heavily on increased consumption of material resources to relying mainly on advances in science and technology, improvement in the quality of the workforce and innovation in management. From demand structure, industry structure and suppluy element structure,“three transitions”is a new higher request for the economic development, and it is the key assignment and essential approach to the transition transitions in the mode of economic development at present and in the future. All of these afford this dissertation the essential ideas.Based on the theory of economic development and the Scientific Outlook on Development and western economics, with the methods of mathematical analysis, quantitative analysis and statistical analysis, this dissertation studies on the formation ways of the economic development in Xinjiang Production and Construction Group (XPCG), and looks for the effective path of a healthy and fast economic development in XPCG. This dissertation has eight chapters as follows:Chapter 1: the introduction to the dissertation. It includes the research background and significance, the domestic and foreign related documentation, the study methods and ideas, as well as the innovation of the dissertation.Chapter 2: the related theories of the transition of the economic development mode. It begins with the definition and differentiation between economic growth and economic development, the mode of economic growthand the mode of economic development. The theories include the theory of Input Factors and Economic Development, the theory of Structure Optimization and Economic Development, the theory of Factors Demand and Economic Development, and the theory of the Scientific Outlook on Development and Transition of the Mode of Economic Development. All of these are the theory and method foundation of this dissertation. Chapter 3: the economic development overview in XPCG. It analyses the economic growth, the economic benefit and the society benefit, and finds that the prominent character of economic growth in XPCG is extensive economic growth with high investment, high growth and low efficiency. There are a lot of problems in the process of economic growth, such as low-level industry structure, great-different economic development among different regions, low quality of the workforce, low income of employee and laggard technical progress. It is the key to change the mode for XPCG to get a healthy and fast economic development, and we must propel three transitions in the mode of economic growth combined to the characteristic of XPCG. Chapter 4, 5 and 6 of the dissertation analyse minutely the three transitions respectively.Chapter 4: the factors of supply and the transition of the mode of economic development. It constructs the Aggregate Production Function of economic development in XPCG, measures the supply elements’contribution to the economic growth generally in XPCG with Solow Function, and calculates the contribution of capital, labor and Total Factor Productivity(TFP) to the economic growth. The change track of TFP portraies the change process of the mode of economic growth form intensive to extensive and to intensive economy. The results indicate that XPCG’s lack of human capital leads to the unconspicuous contribution of technical progress to its economic growth, the efficiency of production is still low, and the economic development mainly depends on the capital. Thereby, to realize the the transition of the mode of economic development in XPCG, we must promote the transition from relying heavily on increased elements of supply to relying mainly on advances in science and technology, improvement in the quality of the workforce.Chapter 5: the factors of demand and the transition of the mode of economic development. It concretely analyses the troika(investment, consumption and net exports) and their contribution rate to the economic development, especially probes into hysteresis of import to economic development. It puts forward that, in a certain period, relying on investment to drive the economic growth is the only way to get rid of poverty and to develop fleetly, however, after decennary high investment and high growth, if we continue to use the bypast development mode, the agelong development of economy in XPCG will be restricted. In a certain period for the future, we must promote the economy development from the expansion of consumption and export, and push the transition of the mode of economic development from relying mainly on investment to relying on a well coordinated combination of consumption, investment and export.Chapter 6: the optimization of the industrial structure and the transition of the mode of economic development. The economy in XPCG gives priority to modern agriculture, agriculture gives priority to crop industry, and crop industry gives priority to cotton. The industrial proportion of the total economy was gradually declining these years, and the low industrial structure is the key factor that influences the transition of the mode of economic development in XPCG. There are two reasons that lead to this status: Firstly, it has formed the development stratagem of agriculture in a long term in XPCG; Secondly, it has formed the particular organization framework. The model of the contribution of the industrial structure transition to the economic growth indicates that the performance the industrial structure transition in XPCG is not good, therefore, there is prodigiouss potential to promote the economic development by the transition of industrial structure. It is the effective choice for XPCG to promote the economic deevelopment by the transition from primary industry serving as the major driving farce to primary, secondary and tertiary industries jointly driving economic growth.Chapter 7: the recommendations to push the transition of the mode of economic development in XPCG. The transition of the mode of economic development in XPCG is a complicated systems engineering, and it needs diversiform measures. Based on the analysis of theory and demonstration, this dissertation puts forward some recommendations to push the transition of the mode of economic development in XPCG.Chapter 8: the conclusion and prospect of the dissertation.The transition of the mode of economic development is one great issue to study, and in this process, the dissertation tries to abstract the generic law from complicated issues. This dissertation abstracts the economic development ideas from the literature datum, and analyses the theory of economic growth and the theory of economic development. Based on these, it finds that supply, demand and structure are the important factors to form and change the mode of economic development. With the theory related to the practice, this dissertation studies systemicly on the transition of the mode of economic development in XPCG with narrow logic, abundant material and scientific analysis.更多还原