The characters of experiments of prediction on monthly mean atmospheric circulation, seasonal prediction and seasonal forecast of summer rainfall over China are summarized in the present paper. The results demonstrate that climate prediction can be made only if the time average is taken. However, the improvement of the skill score of seasonal forecasts depends on the studies on physical parameters and mechanisms that are responsible for seasonal anomaly. Finally, the predictability of seasonal forecast of...
【基金】
Supported by National Key Programme for Developing Basic Sciences -Research on the Forma-tion Mechanism and Prediction Theory
【分类号】
P462.4
【正文快照】
1. IntroductionSeasonal climate prediction is distinguished from the short--range daily weather forecastnot only in target, but also in approaches and methods used. Fundamental products of seasonal prediction are often the seasonal mean temperature and to
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