Although the predictability barrier is a scientific problem brought forward during the middle 1990’s,it has yet to be clearly understood.In this paper,the authors used model results to study the predictability barrier of some atmospheric (climatic) systems,including the equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST),East Asia trough (EAT),and South Asia wind field (monsoon).It is shown that the predictability barrier appeared not only in predicting the SST in the equatorial Pacific,but also in predicting ...
【英文摘要】
Although the predictability barrier is a scientific problem brought forward during the middle 1990’s,it has yet to be clearly understood.In this paper,the authors used model results to study the predictability barrier of some atmospheric (climatic) systems,including the equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST),East Asia trough (EAT),and South Asia wind field (monsoon).It is shown that the predictability barrier appeared not only in predicting the SST in the equatorial Pacific,but also in predicting ...
【基金】
supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Nos.2007CB411805 and 2006CB403603);
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.U0833602)
【更新日期】
2011-12-14
【分类号】
P732
【正文快照】
1 Introduction With the progress of science, especially the develop- ment of computer technology, many countries throughout the world have conducted not only numerical weather forecasts, but also climate numerical simulation and pre- dictability studies s
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