Projections of future precipitation change over China are studied based on the output of a global AGCM, ECHAM5, with a high resolution of T319 (equivalent to 40 km). Evaluation of the model’s performance in simulating present-day precipitation shows encouraging results. The spatial distributions of both mean and extreme precipitation, especially the locations of main precipitation centers, are reproduced reasonably. The simulated annual cycle of precipitation is close to the observed. The performance of the...
【英文摘要】
Projections of future precipitation change over China are studied based on the output of a global AGCM, ECHAM5, with a high resolution of T319 (equivalent to 40 km). Evaluation of the model’s performance in simulating present-day precipitation shows encouraging results. The spatial distributions of both mean and extreme precipitation, especially the locations of main precipitation centers, are reproduced reasonably. The simulated annual cycle of precipitation is close to the observed. The performance of the...
【基金】
supported by the National Key Technologies R&D Program(Grant No. 2007BAC29B03);
China-UK-Swiss Adaptingto Climate Change in China Project (ACCC)-Climate Science;
the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40890054)
【更新日期】
2011-04-01
【分类号】
P467
【正文快照】
1. Introduction There is increasing observational evidence indicat- ing that extreme precipitation events (both in terms of frequency and intensity) are sensitive to global cli- mate change (Karl et al., 1995; Easterling et al., 2000). Extreme precipitati
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