【摘要】 在Batler旅游生命周期理论的基础上,提出了旅游地的非线性成长模式.把旅游地单周期成长看做S形曲线,界定了导入点、转折点、成熟点、逻辑边界等概念;把旅游地更长期成长过程看成是具有分岔结构的非线性模式,给出了分岔点及4种不同成长模式;以鼎湖山、九寨沟、泰山、黄山、张家界、秦兵马俑6个遗产地为例,进行了数值模拟和实证研究.以特征点为基础,对多个景区进行横向比较,探讨了导入点与开发历史、逻辑上界与景区引力、成熟点与成长速度、分岔点与成长模式的关系,从而为旅游地可持续成长研究提供了新的理论.更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the Batler′s tourism area lifecycle,a non-linear growth model is put forward in this paper,It is regard as a S-type growth curve of tourism area growth in one lifecycle,the some new earmark points such as introduction point,turning point,maturation point and logic limits are defined;In the more longer time scale,the growth of tourism area is looked as a non-linear model with branching structure,the branching point and different style of non-liner growth model are described.In the widely investigation,the Dinghushan Mount,Jiuzhaigou Valley,Taishan Mount,Huangshan Mount,Zhang jiajie,Qin′s Terra-cotta Museum as typical cases,the landscape comparison of six scenery areas with earmark points is studied,and the relationships is discussed that the logic jumping-off,guide point and exploitation history,logic up boundary,scenery gravitation and growth extent,turning,mature point and growth velocity,bifurcate point,growth model and relation of border lifecycles.It is provided a new theory for tourism sustainable growth.更多还原