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一种关于汽车整车不确定需求的组合预测模型
A Kind of Combined Forecasting Model Used for the Analysis of Uncertain Demand of Automobile
【摘要】 提出了一种针对汽车生产企业整车不确定需求的组合预测模型,即利用神经网络拟合数据基本变化趋势,然后对企业产品的市场占有率进行评价,以调节需求变化趋势.应用实例,对模型进行了验证,说明该模型能够较好地诠释企业产品需求信息,具有较好的预测能力.
【Abstract】 A combination forecasting model was proposed in this article concerning about the uncertain demand of automobile.The main trend of demand changing was calculated through the RBF ANN model,and some adjustment was made through the market sharing-rate evaluation model.The efficiency of this model was proved,which include the good precise of model and the complete-contain information,through an application case.
【关键词】 组合预测;
需求分析;
市场占有率;
RBF网络;
【Key words】 combined forecasting; demand analysis; market sharing-rate; RBF network;
【Key words】 combined forecasting; demand analysis; market sharing-rate; RBF network;
【基金】 北京交通大学校科研基金(TJ06016)
- 【文献出处】 数学的实践与认识 ,Mathematics in Practice and Theory , 编辑部邮箱 ,2007年08期
- 【分类号】F407.471
- 【被引频次】5
- 【下载频次】219