灰色预测GM(1,1)模型在石油工程中的应用

【摘要】 灰色系统理论是一种研究少数据、贫信息不确定性问题的新方法,它有着简便、易学、准确性和可行性高的特点,因此应用领域十分宽广。本文着重介绍了灰色预测GM(1,1)模型在石油工程中的应用,如:用GM(1,1)模型预测地层孔隙压力、预测原油产量、预测油气层深度和储层孔隙度等。通过实例证明了该方法在石油工程应用中具有预测模型简单、预测精度高、计算速度快、方便实用等特点,对实际生产有一定的参考价值。更多还原

【Abstract】 Gray theory is a new method for researching little data,uncertainty and poor information.It has features that are simple, easy to learn,high accuracy and feasibility.It is applied very broad.This paper introduces applications of gray model GM(1,1) in petroleum engineering.Such as,applying GM(1,1) to forecast pore pressure,crude oil production,the depth of the reservoir and the porosity.It is shown that the application of the method in petroleum engineering is simple and accurate,rapid,convenient and practical.So it has the value in the actual production.更多还原