【摘要】 从复杂适应系统的观点,通过建立元胞自动机模型的方法模拟疾病传播这个复杂的过程.并对SARS地传播过程成功地进行了模拟。同时以此为基础针对可能对传染病产生影响的几种因素作了具体地考察,如人员的移动、及时就医等,考察这些因素对控制传染病达到稳定的具体影响,并给出一些控制这类问题的建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the theory of complexity adaptive system,we build a cellular automata model to simulate the complex process of epidemic spread.Based on this model,we simulate the spread process of SARS successively.Then several factors,such as move of people,whether being treated in time,which have great effects on the propagation of epidemic are analyzed,and whose effects on epidemic are studied.Some suggestion to deal with this kind of problem is given finally.更多还原