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1950-2005年江苏省传染病流行动态及趋势分析

Analysis of epidemic dynamics of infectious diseases in Jiangsu Province from 1950 to 2005

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【作者】 宋俐茅群霞朱玉莲

【Author】 SONG Li,MAO Qun-xia,ZHU Yu-lian. Jiangsu Provincial CDC,Nanjing 210009,China

【机构】 江苏省疾病预防控制中心江苏省疾病预防控制中心 江苏南京210009江苏南京210009

【摘要】 目的分析自开展传染病报告工作以来,江苏省法定传染病的流行变化形势和趋势,探讨当前江苏省传染病防控形势。方法采用描述流行病学的方法对1950-2005年江苏省各年代的疫情资料进行分析描述。结果总传染病发病率和死亡率均明显下降,2000-2005年年均发病率和死亡率分别比20世纪50年代下降了82.58%和95.74%;20世纪70年代之前发病率呈上升趋势,70年代以后下降,死亡率从60年代起呈下降趋势;传染病发病谱发生明显改变。结论1950-2005年江苏省传染病防制工作取得了明显成效,但当前的传染病流行态势提示,江苏省传染病防制面临新老传染病的双重威胁。

【Abstract】 Objective The present study was conducted to analyze the epidemic dynamics of notifiable infectious diseases after the establishment of report system for the diseases for investigating the situation of control and prevention of the infectious diseases in Jiangsu province. Methods The methods of descriptive epidemiology were used to describe and analyze the data on infectious disease reported during the past 56 years. Results The total reported incidence and mortality decreased significantly. The average incidence and mortality from 2000 to 2005 dropped by 82.58% and 95.74% respectively compared with that in 1950s. There was a tendency of increase in the mortality before 1970s and a tendency of decline after 1970s. The total reported mortality took a decreasing trend beginning from 1960s. There was an obvious change in the spectrum of infectious diseases. Conclusion The remarkable achievements were gained in the control and prevention of infectious diseases from 1950 to 2005 in Jiangsu Province. But there’s still a big challenge in the control and prevention of infectious diseases because of the double threats of both old and new infectious diseases.

【关键词】 传染病流行分析
【Key words】 infectious diseaseprevalenceanalysis
  • 【文献出处】 疾病监测 ,Disease Surveillance , 编辑部邮箱 ,2007年07期
  • 【分类号】R181.3
  • 【被引频次】19
  • 【下载频次】119
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