【摘要】 利用方差分析滤波法对中国经济周期的态势和变化特征进行了归纳分析。我国经济共经历了10个周期,经济周期波动发生的频率较高,但它既不同于中期,也不同于短期,而是处于两者之间。同时第10个周期一直在延续。更多还原

【Abstract】 Economic fluctuation is an important part in macroeconomics.In this paper,we analyze the actual condition and development tendency of business cycle in China by taking advantage of filter method of variance analysis.It is concluded that China has gone through 10 business cycles and has high fluctuation frequency.But the average period of each cycle is shorter than Juglar cycle and longer than Kitchin cycle.In present,we are in the tenth period,which has a developing tendency.更多还原