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兰州市产业结构调整与就业弹性问题研究

A study on the relationship between the industrial structure adjustment and employment elasticity in Lanzhou

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【作者】 成学真雷霄雯

【Author】 CHENG Xue-zhen LEI Xiao-wen

【机构】 兰州大学经济研究所兰州大学经济学院

【摘要】 从产业结构调整对就业增长影响的角度,以兰州市各产业产值就业弹性为切入点进行数据统计分析,结果表明,兰州市三次产业的发展虽然保持着比较高的速度,但各产业产值就业弹性均在不断下降。过去十几年间,第一产业所能吸收的劳动力非常有限,第二产业产值的增长不仅不能促进就业增长,而且释放出大量失业工人,第三产业已经成为拉动就业的主要力量。为避免出现经济增长和失业并存的局面,有必要促进产业结构的转变以增加就业。

【Abstract】 From the perspective of the influence of the industrial structure adjustment on the employment growth, this paper calculates Lanzhou’s employment elasticity with every industry’s output value. The result indicates that though the development of the three industries of Lanzhou has grown rapidly, employment elasticity with every industry’s output value was in constant decline. In the past decade years, the workforce that primary industry can absorb is very limited; the growth of the output value of secondary industry can not promote employment and even release a large number of unemployed workers; the third industry has already become the main force to obtain employment. In order to avoid the coexistence of economic growth and unemployment, it’s necessary to promote the transition of the industrial structure to increase employment.

【基金】 兰州市科技局软科学项目(LZR05-1-87)——“GDP增长对兰州市就业的影响分析”的部分成果
  • 【分类号】F127;F249.21
  • 【被引频次】8
  • 【下载频次】495
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