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长江三峡地区人口承载力与库区移民拓展
Carrying capacity for population in the region of Three Gorges of the Yangtze River and its immigrant expansion
【摘要】 重庆作为我国城乡统筹发展的改革试验区,已经提出"一圈两翼"的发展战略,其核心内容之一就是将三峡库区的人口尽可能多地转移进主城经济圈中。那么,库区要移出多少人才算合理呢?通过建立适合三峡库区的人口承载力研究模型分析,发现三峡库区现有人口大于其人口承载力,到2020年前还应在现有基础上增加移民78.84万人。
【Abstract】 Chongqing,as an experimental zone for China urban-rural overall development,has pointed out"one circle two wings" development strategy,one of core contents of the strategy is to immigrate the population of Three Gorges Reservoir area into the economic circle because the nonlinear model analysis suitable for Three Gorges Reservoir Region of the Yangtze River finds that the population in Three Gorges area of Chongqing is more than the carrying capacity there and that,up to 2020,over seven hundred eighty-eight thousand and four hundred residents in Three Gorges area of Chongqing should be immigrated to other places besides present immigrants.
【Key words】 carrying capacity for population; nonlinear model; immigration expansion; Three Gorges area of the Yangtze River;
- 【文献出处】 重庆工商大学学报(西部论坛) ,Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University(West Forum) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2007年03期
- 【分类号】D632.4
- 【被引频次】13
- 【下载频次】236