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基于灰预测理论的石油石化企业风险预测
Venture Forecasting Model to Petrochemical Enterprise Based on Grey Theory
【摘要】 在综合运用灰预测方法(灾变灰预测与数列灰预测理论)的基础上建立了石油石化企业风险预测模型,并对其投资经营风险做了仔细的分析和研究,预测了风险可能发生的时区及大致所造成的损失程度,最后以实例证明了该模型的有效性.
【Abstract】 This paper establishes venture forecasting model to petrochemical enterprises based on the grey forecasting theory(disaster-grey forecasting theory and sequence-grey forecasting theory),and also analyzes their operational venture comprehensively,the results show the probable venture time zone and loss level.At last this paper comes up with an example to prove the effect of the model.
【关键词】 灰预测理论;
石油石化企业;
风险预测;
【Key words】 grey forecasting theory; petrochemical enterprise; venture forecasting;
【Key words】 grey forecasting theory; petrochemical enterprise; venture forecasting;
【基金】 “十五”四川省社会科学科研基金资助项目“我国石油进口风险及规避措施研究”
- 【文献出处】 中南民族大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of South-Central University for Nationalities(Natural Science Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2006年01期
- 【分类号】F407.22
- 【被引频次】10
- 【下载频次】240