【摘要】 文章在考察山东省1983～2004年粮食生产变化情况的基础上,用基于时间序列的计量经济模型分析了影响山东省粮食生产的因素。认为山东省的粮食生产波动主要是由生产要素投入、市场、气候以及政策等因素引起;模型的回归基本上反映了各个变量对粮食产量的影响程度,其中生产要素投入中粮食作物播种面积的影响程度最大。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the change of Shandong foodstuff production of the year 1983 to 2004,this paper makes an analysis of the influential factors by using computation economic model based on time sequence.The reasons for this fluctuation are mainly the investment of production element;market;climate and policies.The regress of the model basically reflects the influencing degree of each variable.Among the investment of production element,the area of foodstuff planting is the most influential factor.更多还原