【摘要】 从石油供应中断导致国民经济损失的角度探讨战略石油储备的经济效益。将能源作为新的变量引入CobbDouglas生产函数,研究得出国民产出与能源消费之间的经验关系。分析了石油在能源消费中的重要作用,计算了石油供应中断可能带来的国民产出损失和经济增长减缓数量。根据战略石油储备能完全弥补石油供应中断损失的假设,得到了战略石油储备的经济效益值。更多还原

【Abstract】 Petroleum supply disruptions will lead to great loss of national output. As the main means to deal with supply disruptions,the drawdown of strategic petroleum reserve may make up the shortage of petroleum, which is very economically meaningful to macro-economy. This paper focuses on the estimation of economic value of strategic petroleum reserve. Firstly, energy factor is introduced into Cobb-Douglas production function as a new variable, and the empirical relationship between GNP and energy consumption is analyzed. Secondly,the significance of petroleum in the energy consumption is stated. Finally,the possible GNP losses and the decrease of economy growth rate resulted from petroleum supply disruptions are calculated, and the economic value of strategic petroleum reserve is obtained.更多还原