【摘要】 针对复杂系统的多准则决策通常具有模糊性和突变理论适合处理具有矛盾性的多准则决策问题的特点,提出了基于突变理论和模糊集的方法对多准则决策问题进行分析建模,并对该方法的灵敏度进行了分析。该方法利用归一公式机理本身来确定各指标对各目标重要性的确定性量化,因而不需要额外考虑指标间的主观权重,所以能够较好地处理复杂系统决策的模糊性。给出了应用改方法的具体步骤,并以一个导弹选型决策问题实例验证了该方法的合理性和可行性。更多还原

【Abstract】 The multi-criteria decision making of complex system often is a nonlinearity synthesis evaluation.The catastrophe theory subjects to criteria for decision making problem.Therefore we brought out that using catastrophe theory based on fuzzy set to evaluate multi-criteria decision making problem.The sensitivity of the method has also been studied.The weight vector was decided by the inherence mechanism of the normalization formula with the corresponding criteria.The method does not require the fuzzy subjective weight vector with the corresponding criteria.The method may preferable deal with the fuzzy of complex system decision making.The processing has been given out in detail.A weapon system selection example has been used to illustrate the rationality and feasibility of the method.更多还原