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蒙特卡罗在项目融资风险评估中的应用
Application of Monte Carlo in Risk Assessment of Project Finance
【摘要】 项目融资具有强大的筹资能力,在我国的应用具有广阔的前景。但项目融资也存在巨大的风险,需要对风险加以管理,风险评估是风险管理的重要步骤。本文通过介绍蒙特卡罗的基木概念、基本原理和工作程序,采用蒙特卡罗模拟与Matlab程序相结合的方法进行了项目融资风险定量评估,并结合实例对此方法予以说明。
【Abstract】 Project finance has the characteristic of strong financing ability and has a very bright future in China.There is much risk in running project finance,so it is necessary to carry out finance risk management.The evaluation of finance risk is an important step in finance risk management.In the paper,the basic concept,fundamental principle and work procedure of Monte Carlo were briefly introduced.The project finance risk was quantitatively assessed by combing Monte Carlo simulation and Matlab procedure.And a real case was given to illustrate the method.
- 【文献出处】 森林工程 ,Forest Engineering , 编辑部邮箱 ,2006年04期
- 【分类号】F224
- 【被引频次】12
- 【下载频次】553