【摘要】 本文探讨了城市化地区水资源承载力的内涵和特性。通过分析城市化对地区水循环、社会经济和生态与环境的影响,以“自然-人工”水循环为基础,以可持续发展作为控制目标,采用目标综合分析与多级灰关联评价相结合的方法,建立了一个城市化地区水资源承载力模型。通过对北京市通州区实例研究表明,该方法可为解决城市化地区水资源和生态与环境问题、指导水资源合理配置,对可持续发展战略的实施提供理论依据和技术支持。更多还原

【Abstract】 The connotation and characteristics of water resources carrying capacity were discussed by analyzing the effect of urbanization on water cycle,social economy,ecology and environment.Based on the concept of natural-social water cycle and following the sustainable development principle,a water resources carrying capacity model for the urbanized area was developed by adopting a comprehensive analysis and applying the multi-level gray relative analysis method.This model was applied to analyze the water resources in Tongzhou District,Beijing.The result showed that the model is feasible for solving the resources and eco-environmental problems happened to the urbanized area and provided a theoretical basis for water resources deployment and the implementation of sustainable development strategy.更多还原