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“十五”全国农业科技进步贡献率测算与2020年预测
Contribution Level of Science and Technology Progress on China Agriculture Development Determined during the 10th Five-Year Period and in 2020
【摘要】 本文以国家统计局发布的1953-2005年度统计数据为基础,采用基于C-D生产函数的增长速度测算模型,测定我国“十五”期间农业科技进步贡献率为45.68%,预计到2020年可望达到64%以上,并从科技投入、科技队伍、科技基础设施等方面,提出了加快农业科技进步、提高对农业综合生产能力支撑水平的对策建议。
【Abstract】 Based on the data from 1953 to 2005 released by the China Statistical Bureau,this paper analyzed the contribution of science and technology progress to China agriculture development,and forecasted that in 2020 by means of Cobb-Douglas production function.The results are as follows:the contribution level of Science and technology progress to agriculture development during the 10th five year plan period is 45.68%,and that in 2020 will be 64% or so in China.
【关键词】 农业发展;
科技进步;
贡献份额;
【Key words】 agriculture development; science and technology progress; contribution level;
【Key words】 agriculture development; science and technology progress; contribution level;
【基金】 科技部社会公益专项“粮食与农业综合生产能力科技支撑研究”(编号:2004DIB4Z141)资助
- 【文献出处】 农业现代化研究 ,Research of Agricultural Modernization , 编辑部邮箱 ,2006年06期
- 【分类号】F323.3;F224
- 【被引频次】87
- 【下载频次】1076