【摘要】 本文对1980到2003年珠江三角洲经济增长因素进行分解,发现:(1)全要素生产率提升快,年均增长率为6.73%,对经济增长的贡献份额为44.42%;(2)固定资本存量增长率最高,年均增长15.76%,对经济增长的贡献份额为38.59%,仅次于全要素生产率;(3)劳动的增长率以及对增长的贡献份额都较低。但是近年来,全要素生产率增长率急速下降,对增长的贡献份额也大幅下滑,资本的贡献大幅上升。此外,本文详细讨论了估计珠江三角洲固定资本存量存在的困难,通过对比各种方法的特点,选择适当的估计方法。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper calculates the Zhujiang Delta’s Total Factor Productivity (TFP) during 1980 to 2003. We find that TFP growths quite fast, 6.73 percent per year on average, and contributes 44.42 percent to economic growth. Fixed capital stock growths 15.76 percent per year and contributes 38.59 percent to economic growth. Labor doesn’t play an important role. However, the Zhujiang Delta′s TFP growth rate decreases fast in recent years. Besides, we discuss the difficulty in calculating fixed capital stock.更多还原