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基于实物期权的林业项目投资研究
A Research of Forestry Investments Based on Real Options
【摘要】 通过分析林业项目的特点及其实物期权特性,考虑林业项目投资过程中未来利润流的不确定性及突发事件的不确定性,运用实物期权的方法,对林业项目投资进行分析,用动态规划的方法导出项目投资阈值,并进行数值分析。
【Abstract】 This paper considers the uncertainty of both future profit flow and emergencies in the forestry project investments by analyzing the characteristics of forestry project and its real option characteristics.So,the theory of real options is used to model and analyze the forestry investment,and get the threshold value of investment by dynamic programming,then analyzes the numerical characteristics.
【关键词】 林业项目;
实物期权;
项目价值;
突发事件;
【Key words】 forestry project; real options; value of the project; emergencies;
【Key words】 forestry project; real options; value of the project; emergencies;
【基金】 国家自然科学基金资助项目(NFC10571065)
- 【文献出处】 林业经济问题 ,Problems of Forestry Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2006年06期
- 【分类号】F326.2
- 【被引频次】19
- 【下载频次】158