【摘要】 运用基于VAR模型的动态经济计量分析方法,对广东1952-2001年产业结构与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究。实证的结果发现:广东产业结构变动和实际经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,并且这种均衡关系是否具有反向修正机制;就业结构对广东经济增长有着重要的影响,但需要较长的时间才能表现出来;经济增长对产业结构也有明显的影响,但是主要是通过产值结构表现出来。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the paper,there is an empirical study on industrial structure and Guangdong’s economic growth from 1952 to 2001 with a dynamic econometric analysis method based on VAR model.The empirical analysis concludes: there is a stable equilibrium relation between Guangdong’s change in industrial structure and real economic growth in the long run,and there is a reverse revision mechanism in the relation;the employment structure has an important effect on Guangdong’s economic growth,but it takes a long time;Guangdong’s economic growth has an explicit effect on industrial structure through production value structure.更多还原