【摘要】 主要立足于宏观经济系统四个变量之间是否存在格兰杰因果关系的分析,了解这些变量间的制约或促进关系。基于系统的向量自回归(VAR)上的格兰杰因果关系分析,同时结合经济学理论,提出相应的政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 In main degree, macroeconomy depands upon the causality among variables. The accurate indication of the causality will be helpful for us to understand the system well this essay defines a economy system including GDP、first occupation、second industry and we thir industry, and takes four variables granger causality test based on VAR, Then discoves some interesting conclustions.更多还原