【摘要】 阐述了单指数平滑方法和双指数平滑方法,并用这两种可靠性模型对一通信软件系统的可靠性进行分析预测.通过同传统软件可靠性增长模型的预测结果进行比较,可以看出双指数平滑方法简单,没有复杂的数学计算,而且对通信软件的失效行为的预测更加准确.更多还原

【Abstract】 Single exponential smoothing technique and double exponential smoothing technique were studied and the reliability of a concrete communication software was analyzed and predicted by using these two models.Through comparing the prediction result with that of traditional software growth reliability models,it could be seen that the double exponential smoothing technique not only was simple without complicated computation but also was able to provide more accurate prediction.更多还原