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2005年中国石油进出口状况分析
Analysis of China’s Oil Import & Export in 2005
【摘要】 2005年,在国际高油价的影响下,中国的石油净进口量(包括原油、成品油、液化石油气和其他石油产品)比上年下降了5.2%,降为14361万吨。国内石油产量增长加快,使得原油净进口量仅增长1.4%,达到11902万吨;进口燃料油和柴油大幅减少,汽油和柴油出口增加,成品油净进口量比2004年的2642万吨减少33.9%,降至1746万吨;高价格还抑制了对进口液化石油气的需求,进口量5年来首次下降,由638.61万吨降到614.12万吨。乙烯新装置投产使石脑油进口大增,2005年全年的进口量同比增长5.86倍。石油净进口额比上年增长14%,达到491.97亿美元。展望2006年,建立节能型社会的需要将推动成品油价格机制的改革;经济的快速发展将使石油消费量的增长比2005年有所加快。预计2006年中国石油消费量将增长6%,达到3.33亿吨。对进口石油的依存度在2005年暂时降低后,2006年将稍有回升,但可能仍低于2004年的49%。
【Abstract】 In 2005, influenced by the high international oil price, China’s net oil import (including crude oil, product oil, LPG and other oil products) decreased by 5.2% to 143.61 million tons. As a result of accelerated increase of domestic oil output, the net import of crude oil alone grew at a mere 1.4% to 119.02 million tons. Import of fuel oil and diesel decreased dramatically while gasoline and diesel fuel export boomed. Net import of product oil fell 33.9% to 17.46 compared to 26.42 million tons in 2004. High price also constrained demand for imported LPG, which declined for the first time in 5 years from 6,386.1 to 6,141.2 thousand tons. Introduction of new ethylene processing facilities boosted naphtha import to grow 5.86 times in 2005 compared to the previous year. Net oil import rose 14% to USD 49.197 billion compared to the previous year. Looking into 2006, the push to build an energy- conserving society will further the pricing mechanism reform for product oil, whereas fast economic growth will speed up oil consumption increase compared to 2005. China’s oil consumption is estimated to rise 6% to 333 million tons in 2006. Dependency on imported oil will slightly increase in 2006 following a temporary drop in 2005, however, the 2004 record of 49% is unlikely to be surpassed. I
- 【文献出处】 国际石油经济 ,International Petroleum Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2006年03期
- 【分类号】F752.6
- 【被引频次】50
- 【下载频次】1040