【摘要】 较系统地概述了集合预报系统发展过程与集合预报中的主要研究问题 ,总结了集合预报概念、系统组成、初始扰动理论技术和产品解释与应用原理的研究成果 ,简单分析了近年来集合预报中的一些研究热点 ,介绍了先进国家集合预报的发展计划。更多还原

【Abstract】 The main issues of the Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) are presented, such as ensemble prediction concepts, the structure of an EPS, approaches for generating initial perturbation, interpretation and application schemes of EPS outputs. The recent advancements and progresses of the operational implementation and research results of EPS are systematically summarized, as well as the projects of EPS development in the developed countries.更多还原