【摘要】 翁文波院士辞世已 8年 ,深切缅怀他的创新精神和重要贡献。翁老开创性的预测理论 2 0多年来在天灾、社会经济等多领域和油气产量、储量预测等方面的预测效果显著。在翁老进一步把预测论发展为预测运筹学、评估学的研究的关键时刻 ,病魔使他难以为继。希望翁老开创的当代预测事业能继续发展。更多还原

【Abstract】 Academician WENG Wen bo passed away eight years ago; the authors of this paper dearly cherish the memory of his spirit of bringing forth new ideas and significant contributions to the Forecasting Theory. It had been over 20 years since Academician WENG pioneered the Forecasting Theory. For over 20 years, the Forecasting Theory has been applied to the forecast of natural disaster, society economic benefit, oil production capacity and reserves and so on, and achieved the notable forecast results. However, it was at crucial moment that Academician WENG was further developing his theory from his Forecasting Theory into Forecast Operational Research and Evaluation Research, he, unfortunately, departed from the world forever in November 1994 and left his unfinished research to later generations. The authors of this paper wished that the Forecasting Theory pioneered by Academician WENG could be continuously developed.更多还原