【摘要】 由预报场与因子场的奇异值分解(SVD),可找到影响预报场的主要物理因子,能提取两个场相互作用的主要耦合信号。借助最优化技术,可实现由因子场对预报场的客观预报。以华中汛期降水场为左场,4月北半球500 hPa高度场、海平面气压场、北太平洋海温场组成右场,进行SVD分析和预报试验,其结果令人满意。更多还原

【Abstract】 Conducting singular value decomposition (SVD) of the cross-covariance matrix gives main physical factors relating to forecast fields and isolates a coupled signal from two data fields. A field can be predicted objectively from the other field by optimization technique. Considering the rain field in central China in flood season as a left field, and the Northern Hemisphere 500 hPa height, the Northern Hemisphere sea level pressure and northern Pacific SST as a right field, the relationship between the two fields is studied by SVD. The result of forecast experiments is proved effective.更多还原