【摘要】 作为现代旅游的支撑点 ,城市旅游引起了多方的注意。然而国内外对城市旅游的研究却还处于起步阶段 ,对有关动力系统问题的专题讨论更少之又少 ,并且已有的关于城市旅游发展动力问题的探讨基本上都是一种经验性的定性分析或个案研究 ,尚无定量研究和数学方法的应用。本文在给出城市旅游发展 8大动力因子的基础上 ,以广东省 14个地级市为例 ,试图通过量化的途径对城市海外旅游发展的各动力因子作定性与定量相结合的分析 ,并在揭示现状的基础上对将来的变化作出预测更多还原

【Abstract】 As the supporting point of modern tourism industry, urban tourism is giving rise to the attention from different aspects. However, the urban tourism research at home and aboard is still in its initial stage, not to speak of the special discussion with regard to the force system of it. And the studies concerning the driving force are only some kind of empirical qualitative analysis or single\|case study. No quantitative study or mathematical approach has been put into use. Based on giving the eight driving factors of urban inbound tourism, this paper tries to give a qualitative and quantitative analysis to it by taking 14 prefecture cities in Guangdong Province as as an example. On the basis of disclosing the present situation, this paper will also forecast the changes in future.更多还原