【摘要】 阐明了滑动平均数法与指数平滑法的渊源,论证了滑动平均数法选择期数N与指数平滑法平滑系数α的相互转换关系和作用机制,给出了符合交通规律的具有自适应能力的季节性指数平滑预测方法。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper illustrates the origins of the slip averaging and the exponential smoothing proves the inter -converse relation and interaction mechanism between the selective coefficient of the slip averaging(N)and the smoothing coefficient of the exponential smoothing (α) and gives the method of the seasonal exponential smoothing forecast to meet the laws of traffic and with the adaptive capacity.更多还原