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黄浦江严重风暴潮汐准周期性与趋势预测
THE ASSESSMENT OF THE QUASI-CYCLIC PERlODS AND TRENDS OF HEAVY STORM TIDES IN HUANGPU RIVER
【摘要】 据黄浦江吴淞站长系列潮位资料,采用功率普法、可公度性法和太阳黑子周期的位相法等分析,推得严重风暴潮的准周期有:25年、8年、34年和60年的多重周期特性,且都有它们各自宏观背景,从而综合绘制了黄浦江严重风暴潮趋势预测图,供研究参考。
【Abstract】 On the basis of a long series historical records of tide level at gauge Wusong,Huangpu River, applying the methods of the Power-Spectrum, the commensurability andthe Sun Spots Period Phasing, it is concluded out that to the occurrences of heavy stormtides there exists 2.5, 8, 34 and 60-year quasi -cyclic periods, respectively due to theirown micro backgrounds. Consequently, a comprehensive heavy storm tide trenda predict isdrawn out for the reference of research.
【关键词】 风暴潮;
准周期性;
可公度性;
位相法;
【Key words】 storm tide; quasi-cyclic period; commensurability; phasing method;
【Key words】 storm tide; quasi-cyclic period; commensurability; phasing method;
- 【文献出处】 海洋预报 ,Marine Forecasts , 编辑部邮箱 ,2002年02期
- 【分类号】P731.23
- 【被引频次】4
- 【下载频次】112