储蓄向投资转化与现行国债政策的关系研究

【摘要】 本文通过建立动态宏观经济模型,分析了私人储蓄增长大于社会固定资产投资增长对我国经济发展的影响。实际经济数据表明,储蓄向投资转化不力正是我国经济中通货紧缩的主要原因。政府通过扩大国债规模,加大基础设施投资力度,对经济具有促进作用。从储蓄与投资的关系出发,本文提出了发行国债规模的两个参考条件,同时认为在目前我国经济发展条件下可以允许较高的国债规模。更多还原

【Abstract】 By establishing a dynamic macroeconomic model, this article analyses th e influence of the fact that the private savings are increasing faster than the social fixed assets upon our economic development.Statistics shows that the inef ficacy of transferring savings to investment is becoming the main cause of defla tion.The government can promote the economy by increasing national debt and enco uraging investment in the infrastructure.Based on an investigation of the relati onship between savings and investment,the author comes to the conclusion that ou r current situation of economic developmint permits an increase of national debt .In addition,the author also put forward two referential conditions for controll ing the volume of national debt.更多还原