【摘要】 破产风险同一般意义上的风险具有明显的差异 ,其研究对象涉及企业、个人等组成的社会群体 ,影响因素具有定性、定量相结合的特征。本文在文 [1]基础上 ,做了如下改进工作 :采用定性识别与模型定量计算相结合的方式 ,研究了破产风险的识别、衡量和控制。采用基于参数分布和模糊识别方法对破产风险进行分类 ,提出破产概率推断方法 ,建立了企业寿命分布函数 ,最后给出破产风险控制的规划模型及仿真计算的案例。更多还原

【Abstract】 Bankrupty risks have obvious different from general risks,whose objective of the research project are the organizations composing of enterprises and individuals.The factors effecting bankurpty risks have quantitative and qualitative characters.On the basis of the paper[1],this paper studies the distinguishing,measuring and of bankrupty risks by means of the combination of qualitative distinguishing and model calculating kits forward how to deduce bankrupty probability by using the classification of parameter distribution and fuzzy distinguishing.Distributive function of the business life is established At builds the tendency model of bankrupty probability distribution according to produce function and gives the linger programming model of bankrupty risks control a simulation of evolution plan is given.更多还原