【摘要】 2002年1～10月份中国石油市场原油供应充足;在总量调控下,汽油、柴油、煤油、燃料油供应略小于需求,库存下降;受国内外双重影响,国内成品油市场价格波动呈现出规律性,汽柴油零售中准价呈上升走势,市场流通秩序有所好转。展望2003年,虽然经济继续快速增长将使石油需求快速增长,但经济质量的提高将使石油需求同比增长率略有下降,经济结构的变化将使油品需求结构发生变化。2003年中国原油供应将保持稳定和充足。原油加工量将达到2.2亿～2.3亿吨。汽油、柴油、燃料油、石脑油、煤油、LPG的产量比2002年均会有一定幅度增长。预计汽柴油年平均价格将与2002年水平接近,市场运行相对平稳。国家将进一步调控国内石油市场,国内石油市场机制将进一步完善。中国成品油流通领域仍存在四个不同层次的问题。其中企业层面问题的解决可望在国家政策取向和石油公司实际需要等因素的影响下取得较大的进展。更多还原

【Abstract】 Crude supplies were adequate in the Chinese petroleum market between January and October 2002. With control and adjustment of gross volumes, the supply of gasoline, diesel, kerosene and fuel was slightly lower than the demand, with stockpiles declining. Prices of domestic oil products fluctuated due to internal and external influences. The official median retail price for gasoline and diesel reflected an upward trend while there were good developments in market circulation. Looking to 2003, oil demand growth rates will level off compared to the same period in 2002, but further economic growth will keep oil demand growing. Changes in economic structure will cause variations in the oil product demand structure. China’s crude oil supply will remain stable in 2003 while the crude oil processing volume will reach 220-230 million tons. Output of gasoline, diesel, fuel oil, naphtha, kerosene and LPG will grow compared to 2002. The annual average prices of gasoline and diesel are predicted to approach 2002 levels with the market largely stable. The government will further adjust the oii markets in order to perfect the market mechanism. However, issues remain in China’s oil products distribution sector. National policies and real demand of the oil companies will help solve the issues existing in the oil and petrochemical enterprises.更多还原