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我国石油供应形势和资源及安全战略

China’s Strategy to Secure Oil Supply and Resources

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【作者】 周大地; 朱兴珊;

【Author】 By Zhou Dadi and Zhu Xingsan, Energy Research Institute of State Development Planning Commission

【机构】 国家发展计划委员会能源研究所; 国家发展计划委员会能源研究所;

【摘要】 我国可采石油资源量相对不足,而世界石油工业一直处于资源保证程度稳步提升的良性循环中,石油储量仍有较大的发展潜力。鉴于和平时期的石油供应保障问题已经成为当今石油安全问题的核心,我国应采取如下的石油资源战略:(1)树立全球化的石油资源观,优先利用世界上廉价的石油资源以实现经济发展;(2)经济开采国内石油资源,不以降低经济效益为代价,片面追求产量的稳定;(3)把利用国外石油资源的区域重点放在中东、俄罗斯,并积极进行中亚、非洲和南美等地区的工作。对我国石油供应安全战略的构想是:(1)把石油进口战略部署与独立自主的和平外交路线有机地联系起来;(2)在石油进口方面进行认真的经济比较分析,实行进口渠道多样化(俄罗斯天然气东输管线的建设可一并考虑);(3)从建立和增加民间商业储备起步,逐步达到战略储备的目标;(4)推动我国石油企业的国际化;(5)开展区域性能源合作,建立互利的集体石油安全体系。

【Abstract】 Recoverable oil reserves are relatively scarce in China, However, the global oil situation is strong as the potential for further increases in oil reserves remains strong. Security of oil supply during peacetime has become the key oil security issue. China will take the following steps in its oil resource strategy: (1) Focus on global oil resources in order to locate cheap global oil resources to fuel its economic development; (2) Develop domestic oil resources in an economical manner while keeping oil production stable without sacrificing economic performance; (3) Identify the Middle East and Russia as the focal points for oil supply while continuing efforts to explore sources in Central Asia, Africa and South America. China’s strategy for oil supply security should be based on the following measures: (1)Linking oil import strategies to independent and peaceful foreign policies; (2) Maintaining detailed economic analysis on oil imports and diversifying the import channels (taking into consideration construction of natural gas pipelines from Russia); (3) Establishing and increasing commercial stockpiles and gradually meeting strategic reserve targets; (4) Promoting the internationalization of China’s oil enterprises; (5) Launching regional energy cooperation and establishing a collective oil security system with mutual benefits.

【关键词】 石油安全; 石油资源; 石油供应; 战略构想; 中国;
  • 【文献出处】 国际石油经济 ,International Petroleum Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2002年10期
  • 【分类号】F426.22
  • 【被引频次】78
  • 【下载频次】612
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