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基于人工神经网络模型的井灌水稻需水量预测
Water demand forecast of well irrigation paddy based on artificial nerve network model
【摘要】 水稻需水量仿真与预测是制定优化灌溉制度的重要依据。应用人工神经网络技术(BP-ANN)处理需水量时间序列,通过自相关分析,确定网络结构,建立了井灌水稻需水量的人工神经网络模型,解决了需水量序列内部及其外部诸多影响因素之间的不确定关系,预测精度较高,可在灌区决策管理中应用。
【Abstract】 [Abstract] The simulation and the forecast of paddy water demand is an important basis for lay down the optimization irrigation system. The paper treatments the time series by the artificial nerve network technology (BP -ANN), defines the network structure by the self - correlation analysis, sets up the artificial nerve network model of well irrigation paddy water demand for uncertainty relation between inside and outside factors of water demand series. The forecast precision is high. It can be applied to the management decision in the irrigation area.
【关键词】 人工神经网络;
井灌;
水稻;
需水量;
预测;
【Key words】 [Keywords] artificial nerve network; well irrigation; paddy; water demand; forecast;
【Key words】 [Keywords] artificial nerve network; well irrigation; paddy; water demand; forecast;
【基金】 中国博士后科学基金; 四川大学青年基金资助项目(432028)。
- 【文献出处】 东北水利水电 ,Water Resourse & Hydropower of Northeast China , 编辑部邮箱 ,2002年05期
- 【分类号】S274
- 【被引频次】19
- 【下载频次】212