【摘要】 对航空客运超售风险管理进行了研究 .在分析航空客运风险处理措施基础上 ,提出采用风险价值 (VaR)方法进行超售风险管理 .给出了单航班不同舱位超售量的计算方法及多航班VaR值的计算方法 .实例表明VaR方法在航空客运风险管理中是十分有效的更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the experiences of managing risks of civil aviation companies, a Value at Risk (VaR) procedure was proposed to control overbooking risk.The calculation method of extra number of single line and the representation of VaR of multi line were given respectively. One whole company’s VaR in a day was obtained from analyzing the relativity of return about different flights. Finally, an example on the risk analysis of one scheduled flight from Beijing to Hongkong was given to demonstrate the feasibility of VaR in the risk management of civil aviation transportation.更多还原